Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 3.236281 3.572273 3.935965 4.360165 4.842947 5.377151 6.015525
2025-08-31 2.733251 3.178367 3.692847 4.336117 5.125388 6.070650 7.301194
2025-09-07 2.483005 3.000800 3.629408 4.458418 5.537564 6.915381 8.841741
2025-09-14 2.243658 2.792391 3.484212 4.435544 5.733920 7.480666 10.073551
2025-09-21 2.049526 2.613304 3.346752 4.391509 5.876394 7.967376 11.241601
2025-09-28 1.839235 2.390030 3.124512 4.200557 5.780848 8.091142 11.874111
2025-10-05 1.736900 2.301098 3.072761 4.236710 6.005933 8.697761 13.324347
2025-10-12 1.661403 2.241286 3.053559 4.313242 6.292566 9.423984 15.072466
2025-10-19 1.593739 2.186033 3.034165 4.383936 6.572246 10.166102 16.961145
2025-10-26 1.530724 2.131954 3.010594 4.443113 6.835232 10.906813 18.966214
2025-11-02 1.466459 2.070908 2.970756 4.470722 7.045011 11.576197 20.946566
2025-11-09 1.370684 1.956021 2.839748 4.338022 6.964323 11.709685 21.868954
2025-11-16 1.296820 1.871839 2.753431 4.276233 7.008877 12.093469 23.416386
2025-11-23 1.237704 1.807064 2.693585 4.254147 7.122541 12.624186 25.393134
2025-11-30 1.212466 1.793779 2.715308 4.373794 7.509768 13.746851 28.969330
2025-12-07 1.161600 1.736225 2.659959 4.351497 7.622443 14.319636 31.348261
2025-12-14 1.110964 1.676125 2.596324 4.308505 7.688914 14.801181 33.603575
2025-12-21 1.038637 1.576734 2.460331 4.122022 7.448886 14.578733 33.937930
2025-12-28 1.009688 1.547910 2.443719 4.157333 7.666143 15.414423 37.398124
2026-01-04 0.989047 1.531806 2.447953 4.232076 7.973155 16.503103 41.890002
2026-01-11 0.968621 1.514870 2.449431 4.301111 8.274830 17.625650 46.823309
2026-01-18 0.947590 1.495719 2.445584 4.358895 8.557529 18.746069 52.109765
2026-01-25 0.923267 1.469559 2.427322 4.385852 8.772971 19.727997 57.255270